submitted by Maxvelgus to Finance_analytics [link] [comments]
Fundamental euro forecast for today
EUUSD bulls do not believe Christine Lagarde’s optimismECB is monitoring the euro exchange rate, but it is not willing to start a currency war now. Christine Lagarde expressed optimism about the euro-area economic recovery, the ECB president hasn’t signaled the further monetary easing in the near future. Lagarde’s speech should have encouraged the EUUSD bulls, but they didn’t believe the good news, so they didn’t go ahead. It looks like a catch. The ECB officials express concerns about the euro strengthening ahead of the Governing Council meeting, and, next, the ECB president sounds hawkish.
At the press conference, Christine Lagarde several times stressed that exchange rates and the euro appreciation were not the ECB policy target. However, the exchange rate was the most discussed topic at the Governing Council meeting in September. According to a Reuters source familiar with the matter, the ECB officials have agreed that the EUUSD rally resulted from a faster economic rebound in the euro area compared to the US growth, the Fed’s easy monetary policy, the increased confidence in the currency bloc due to the management of the pandemic fallout. Moreover, the upcoming presidential election in the US weighs on the US dollar. Bloomberg’s leading indicators signal that the GDP recovery is the fastest in Germany. After a temporary downturn in France, Italy, and Spain on concern about the second wave of the COVID-19 outbreak, the economic activity is gradually increasing. The UK, US, and Canada persistently lag behind.
Dynamics of the economic recovery
Four sources on the ECB's Governing Council told Reuters that the ECB acknowledges the negative effects of the euro's strength on inflation and growth, but the central bank is not willing to start a currency war. Speaking after the meeting, two sources said they saw $1.20 as not far from the equilibrium exchange rate at present. According to Citigroup, if the EUUSD is up by another 5%, the European Central Bank will take active measures. In the meanwhile, the regulator is carefully monitoring the exchange rates of the regional currency. The Governing Council policymakers at the meeting considered adopting the language used to stem the euro's previous rally, in early 2018, when the former ECB President Mario Draghi described "volatility in the exchange rate" as "a source of uncertainty", according to Reuters.
The Reuters sources say the southern countries of the eurozone are much more concerned about the euro strengthening than the northern ones. The Governing Council hawks wanted Lagarde to note the great progress in the euro-area economic recovery. François Villeroy de Galhau, the governor of the French central bank, insisted on this especially strongly.
So, the EUUSD bulls feared verbal interventions, signals of monetary easing, and the ECB willingness to follow the Fed’s example and target the average inflation. None of the fears came true. However, the euro hasn’t consolidated above $1.19. Are the buyers so weak? Or, they could feel a catch and will resume attacks after the ECB officials’ speeches. I suppose both scenarios should be considered. If the euro rises above $1.192, it will be relevant to buy. If it slides down below the support levels of $1.1795 and $1.1765, we should sell the euro versus the dollar.
For more information follow the link to the website of the LiteForex
Dear Ladies and Gentlemen
The People's Bank of China (PBOC) is gladdened to announce that the efforts made by the Bank to consolidate financial markets and reign in unproductive credit and the misappropriation in debt lending are seeing bountiful returns. For the 2022 year forecast, we are thus heartened to state that the economy has exponentially preformed to bring growth above 7 percent, beating negative analysis on efforts on the PBOC and government's meaningful reforms to address core structural issues that have threatened the Chinese and global economy.
While we have identified specific measures in relation to consumer demand and business growth, in conjunction with the improving regulatory framework, we foresee promising inflationary movement and are pleased to see an adaptive labour market take hold in overall trends for key benchmarks.
In regards to the current developments in the Banks's stimulus efforts, we shall maintain the current level of market guidance and capital assistance. While we continue this approach, we are constantly assessing the Mainland's capital markets liquidity and should concerns be spotted that identify general overheating, the PBOC is ready to address those concerns and enforce targeted measures.
Now, onto the main elements of the year's statement: the current status on the internationalisation of the Renminbi and policy responses to optimise a favourable environment as well as new guidelines on capital market
The following discussion shall be complimented with the following handout:
The dollar is trading without significant changes to a basket of major currencies during the Asian trading on Monday.submitted by Itrader_com to u/Itrader_com [link] [comments]
Euro is $ 1,1027 compared with $ 1,1030 in the previous session. The cost of the single European currency to the Japanese is 117.84 yen compared to 117.89 yen. The dollar is 106.88 yen against 106.92 yen.
The ICE Dollar Index, which shows the value of the US dollar against six major world currencies, is up 0.03%. The WSJ Dollar indicator, which tracks the dynamics of the dollar against 16 major world currencies, is adding 0.01%.
A significant event for the markets this week will be a meeting of the European Central Bank, the results of which will be announced on Thursday, September 12.
In July, the head of the European Central Bank, Mario Draghi, hinted at the possibility of new measures to stimulate monetary policy. Investors expect a decrease in the deposit rate, which is currently at minus 0.4% per annum, by 15 basis points. Economists predict that the regulator will purchase assets worth EUR 30 billion per month during the year.
The data of the European Union Statistical Office, published at the end of last week, showed that the economy of 19 eurozone countries in the second quarter of 2019 grew by 0.2% compared to the previous quarter. The indicator coincided with preliminary data and market forecasts.
Meanwhile, in annual terms, Eurozone GDP increased by 1.2%, although a preliminary report indicated an increase of 1.1%. Experts did not expect its revision. In the first quarter of this year, eurozone GDP grew by 0.4% in quarterly and 1.2% in annual terms.
Also, the Chinese yuan is getting cheaper against the dollar. Traders are evaluating the statistical data and the decision of the Central Bank of China to soften reserve requirements for banks.
The renminbi against the US dollar is 7.1291 yuan / $ 1, compared with 7.1157 yuan / $ 1 on the previous trading day.
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The world is the most unpredictable place. Especially with a continuous change in motion, the position of any country can’t be counted as the stable position. Talking about the development process of any of any country is totally dependent on the development of the currency of its country, how the country is actually growing in different aspects with different growth factors taking place.submitted by bookmyforexgurgaon to u/bookmyforexgurgaon [link] [comments]
For instance, the growth of health conditions in the country how poor or good they are, the quality of education in the country, the rate of employment or moreover the poverty line of the country. All this depends on the value of the currency the country has, the better the currency, the better the country is.
Talking about Rupee, the situation since 1945 till now is never a stabilised one. The rupee has only tangoed all this while, deliberations on the amount of debts have just grown intensely. However, when it comes to the growth of Rupee, you’ll find nothing. Although, the past few months have been ever growing for the Rupee, one can’t ignore the fact that the fluctuations were terribly high and still are.
Thus, when the condition of the rupee is itself in a concoction, how can one expect to have a constant growth in another domain or field. Another reason one can find is the constant fluctuations in the Euro Exchange rate for the global markets that have their business standards quite trembling too. The impact of this tremble is quite visibly witnessed by many.
As known the Indian Rupee depends on the USD for its trade growth and economy development, not to forget the constant fluctuations in the Crude Prices and the Hiking highest of the Brent shows a constant change and no possible stability due to the Waiver take off by the US due to Trump’s decision can largely impact the world.
Imagine if Indian Rupee has touched an all-time low, one’s immediate reaction is to worry about the inflation and the negative impact on the finances. Stock markets have reacted negatively as foreign investors are pulling money out of emerging markets including India.
The investments will be depleted on the condition that all this will be gorged in a different shape. No high value of Rupee will result in no returns for your investments because the value of the rupee has changed totally.
As an investor, an important skill is to have an ability to connect the dots. This applies to your personal finances too. Being aware of the implication of economic developments on investments can not only help save money but also seize opportunities.
The investment of an investor depends a lot more on the fundamentals of a country and the movement of the country’s currency based on its fundamentals. While looking at our fundamentals we stand tall over them as one can see that there is no rise in the overall debt (excluding the corporate debt & NPAs.)
For instance, the daily forecast that is published on BookMyForex for every currency can help you in taking your decision in a better way. Here’s today forecast for your reference:
22 April 2019: The rupee had opened with a positive gap at 69.46 regaining through the day touching a high of 69.6175 in the afternoon. However, the strong dollar sales in the last 30 minutes allowed the rupee to later close at 69.34. The rising crude prices confuse the rupee’s recovery. Brent broke above $74.00 mark today amidst the speculations coming from the US that Trump is to discontinue the waivers on buying Iranian Oil. Situations are tough for any forecast on Rupee as there will be no political and economic decisions taken to combat the crude price hike until the election results are out by May 23rd.
In finance, an USD to EUR exchange rate is the US Dollar to >Euro rate at which US Dollar to Euro will be exchanged for another. It is also regarded as the value of USD to EUR in relation to another currency. For example, an interbank exchange rate of 114 Japanese yen to the United States dollar means that ¥114 will be exchanged for each US$1 or that US$1 will be exchanged for each ¥114. Euro to Dollar forecast on Thursday, November, 12: exchange rate 1.1830 Dollars, maximum 1.2007, minimum 1.1653. EUR to USD forecast on Friday, November, 13: exchange ... 2020-2021 Exchange Rate Forecasts: Pound Sterling, Euro, US Dollar, Australian, Canadian and NZ Dollars. October 31 2020. CIBC forecasts: Dollar 2021 losses tempered by Euro fragility, Sterling ... Euro to Dollar forecast for December 2020. In the beginning rate at 1.177 Dollars. High exchange rate 1.190, low 1.154. The average for the month 1.173. The EUR to USD forecast at the end of the month 1.172, change for December -0.4%. EUR to USD forecast for January 2021. In the beginning rate at 1.172 Dollars. High exchange rate 1.181, low 1 ... Dollar to Euro Forecast, USD to EUR foreign exchange rate prediction, buy and sell signals. The best long-term & short-term USD/EUR FX prognosis for 2020, 2021, 2022 ... Euro to Dollar Forecast, EUR to USD foreign exchange rate prediction, buy and sell signals. Rate target in 14 days: 1.206. The best long-term & short-term EUR/USD FX ... Euro Forecast: Performance after US Elections, COVID-19 Vaccine is a Bad Omen for EUR/JPY, EUR/USD . 2020-11-11 15:00:00 US Dollar Cycle Analysis: Implications for DXY, EUR/USD, AUD/USD. 2020-11 ...
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